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islander
Master Marine Consultant

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USA
4018 Posts
Response Posted - 09/05/2017 :  16:56:04  Show Profile
Well as I said there was another one forming right behind Irma. It now has a name, Jose.
Scott-"IMPULSE"87'C25/SR/WK/Din.#5688
Sailing out of Glen Cove,L.I Sound


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Voyager
Master Marine Consultant

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USA
5352 Posts
Response Posted - 09/06/2017 :  08:21:25  Show Profile
I've been watching the TD that became Jose for some time, and according to the WedAM models, it'll track a parallel path, but will trend a little farther north, than Irma. That keeps it away from the Leeward Islands and PR, Hispaniola and it's anybody's guess when it'll hook north.

For Irma, again, latest models project she'll hook north to the east of Miami. Due to the size of the storm, it'll still impact the entire east coast of Florida and all of the Bahamas. While emergency officials are evacuating the Florida Keys, I think as usual, the Conch Republic will largely miss it.

Then, where's landfall? Could be SC coast. Due to the past 20 years of buildout in SC, this is likely be a similar scene to Houston.

Once inland it goes into another phase. Due to an upper level low currently over Montana moving along the Jet Stream, the two could combine early next week over TN, KY and OH into an extra tropical rain maker. For those who recall, Sandy went from a Hurricane to a Superstorm due to its combination with another low pressure system.

It's Jose that scares me. I expect it will be pushed up the US East Coast by the end of next week.

Hurricane paths are extremely chaotic so this is all conjecture.
Bruce Ross
Passage ~ SR-FK ~ C25 #5032

Port Captain — Milford, CT
Edited by - Voyager on 09/06/2017 08:28:49
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Stinkpotter
Master Marine Consultant

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Djibouti
9076 Posts
Response Posted - 09/06/2017 :  09:06:13  Show Profile
I'm looking at a forecast track right into Miami Sunday morning, and then up the FL east coast as a Cat 3+ (110+ mph) headed for GA/SC. Right now she has 175 mph winds at the BVIs--that's 100 mph above hurricane force!.
Dave Bristle
Association "Port Captain" for Mystic/Stonington CT
PO of 1985 C-25 SR/FK #5032 Passage, USCG "sixpack" (expired),
Now on Eastern 27 $+!nkp*+ Sarge
Edited by - Stinkpotter on 09/06/2017 09:09:51
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Voyager
Master Marine Consultant

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USA
5352 Posts
Response Posted - 09/11/2017 :  21:03:45  Show Profile
Now that Irma is a TS in Tennessee, hurricane Jose is becoming a real pain in the arse! It's doing a loop-the-loop out in the Bermuda Triangle and fixing to drive toward the mid-Atlantic coast by the end of this coming weekend. As a Category 1 or potentially 2, it could land anywhere from the outer banks of NC to Montauk.
It bears close watching.
Meanwhile, the remnants of Irma are looking to spoil our Newport Boat Show weekend in Rhode Island. I'm planning to head up on Friday and Saturday, just in time for the rain. Damn!!!
And then it's Jose time...
Bruce Ross
Passage ~ SR-FK ~ C25 #5032

Port Captain — Milford, CT
Edited by - Voyager on 09/11/2017 21:05:14
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GaryB
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USA
4303 Posts
Response Posted - 09/12/2017 :  18:00:12  Show Profile
quote:
Originally posted by Voyager

...
And then it's Jose time...

Sounds like Jose Cuervo time to me...

Association Member

GaryB
Andiamo
'89 SR/WK #5862
Kemah,TX
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Stinkpotter
Master Marine Consultant

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Djibouti
9076 Posts
Response Posted - 09/13/2017 :  07:03:25  Show Profile
Saturday should be OK in Newport (Friday not so much), and Jose appears to be headed out to sea.
Dave Bristle
Association "Port Captain" for Mystic/Stonington CT
PO of 1985 C-25 SR/FK #5032 Passage, USCG "sixpack" (expired),
Now on Eastern 27 $+!nkp*+ Sarge
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Notice: The advice given on this site is based upon individual or quoted experience, yours may differ.
The Officers, Staff and members of this site only provide information based upon the concept that anyone utilizing this information does so at their own risk and holds harmless all contributors to this site.